A review of the interactions between biodiversity, agriculture, climate change, and international trade: research and policy priorities
نویسندگان
چکیده
Striving to feed a population set reach almost 10 billion people by 2050 in sustainable way is high on the research and policy agendas. Further intensification expansion of agricultural lands would be major concern for environment biodiversity. There is, therefore, need understand better impacts biodiversity from global food system. Since underpins functions services that are essential agriculture, greater consideration role system needed. Here we have generated conceptual framework separating environment-agriculture-trade into its key components, revealing complex interactions highlighting This process identified components well studied, gaps preventing understanding interactions, trade-offs, synergies between biodiversity, climate change, international trade. We highlight eight priorities will promote complexities Many Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), including zero hunger, clean water, maintaining life land action, influenced production maintenance within around land. 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Lett. 2012; 15: 365-377Crossref (1606) Climate interacts use, altering how respond change16Newbold G.L. Albaladejo Robles Boakes E.H. Braga Ferreira Chapman A.S.A. Etard Gibb Millard Outhwaite C.L. al.Climate homogenise consequences ecosystem functioning well-being.Emerg. Top. Life 3: 207-219Crossref (11) Scholar,17Oliver Morecroft M.D. Interactions attribution problems, risks, opportunities.Wiley Interdiscip. Rev. Clim. 2014; 5: 317-335Crossref adds complexity The important, droughts, losses.18Schmidhuber Tubiello F.N. change.Proc. Natl. Acad. U S 2007; 104: 19703-19708Crossref (931) clearly contexts ability cause indirect responses through broad-scale interactions. Alongside increases ease trade products contributor production. globalization led spatial decoupling consumption, whereby subsistence needs used met resources now being supplied other regions flows.4IPBESBrondizio Scholar,19Liu Hull V. Batistella M. DeFries Dietz Fu Hertel T.W. Izaurralde R.C. Lambin E.F. Li al.Framing sustainability telecoupled world.Ecol. 18https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-05873-180226Crossref (463) Scholar,20Kastner Kastner Nonhebel Tracing distant consumer perspective.Ecol. Econ. 70: 1032-1040Crossref (92) made easier losses outsourced outside where consumers readily perceive As result, developed import developing, typically highly biodiverse, regions.21Marques Martins I.S. Plutzar Theurl M.C. Eisenmenger Huijbregts M.A.J. Wood Stadler Bruckner al.Increasing carbon sequestration economic growth.Nat. 628-637Crossref (49) contribute pressure habitats potential conversion, tropical forests, biodiversity.22Delzeit Zabel Meyer Václavík Addressing improve security.Reg. 17: 1443Crossref (1) For example, 2000 2011 beef, soybeans, palm oil, wood seven countries (Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Paraguay, Indonesia, Malaysia, Papua New Guinea) was responsible total deforestation losses.23Henders Persson U.M. Trading forests: emissions embodied exports forest-risk commodities.Environ. Res. 10: 125012Crossref (115) It approximately 20% area growing crops export 2008, 1969 2009 grew rapidly (by about Mha) supplying domestic remained virtually unchanged.24Kastner Erb K.H. Haberl Rapid growth trade: efficiency management.Environ. 9: 034015Crossref (114) grown developing important facilitating leads loss, industrialized significant 50% world wheat European Union (EU) United States,25Barassi M.R. Ghoshray Structural long-run relationships US EU prices.J. Agric. 58: 76-90Crossref States millions tons maize, soy, wheat, chicken, pork,26Wallington T.J. Anderson J.E. Mueller S.A. Kolinski Morris Winkler S.L. Ginder J.M. Nielsen O.J. Corn ethanol production, exports, change.Environ. Technol. 46: 6379-6384Crossref (28) liberalization enabled large-scale exchange dairy EU, States, Oceania.27Rezitis A.N. Rokopanos Impact liberalisation market price co-movements Oceania, States.Aust. 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Herrero Carlson K.M. al.Options keeping limits.Nature. 562: 519-525Crossref (446) Pastor al.,35Pastor Palazzo Havlik Biemans Wada Y. Obersteiner Kabat Ludwig nexus food-trade-water sustaining flows 2050.Nat. Sustain. 2: 499-507Crossref Dalin al.36Dalin Puma M.J. Groundwater depletion embedded trade.Nature. 543: 700-704Crossref (235) Scholar). evidence external internal dynamics our compromising providing food, fiber, fuel way.28Nyström Scholar,37Willett Rockström Loken Lang Garnett Tilman DeClerck al.Food Anthropocene: EAT-Lancet Commission healthy diets systems.Lancet. 393: 447-492Abstract Full Text PDF (1058) on, with, not considered sufficient depth quantitative resilience-based approaches. Therefore, inform efforts SDGs supports, there continued strengthened focus inclusion environment, feedbacks To facilitate system, review recent literature systems approach outlining interacting suite variables combine drive (Figure 1). Systems thinking useful disentangling systems, causes less straightforward suggested studying just parts system.38Lezak S.B. Thibodeau P.H. concern.J. Psychol. 143-153Crossref (36) viewed fundamental addressing problems change.39Ballew M.T. Goldberg M.H. Rosenthal Gustafson Leiserowitz pathway warming beliefs attitudes ecological worldview.Proc. 116: 8214-8219Crossref Practical approaches modeling include tools causal loop diagrams, assist decision-makers dynamic behavior systems.40Simonovic S.P. Arunkumar Comparison static multipurpose reservoir operation.Water 52: 8630-8649Crossref (22) A recently published their remaining gaps. then constructed diagram represent Starting main elements influences nodes described scientific literature. expansion, known negatively influence biodiversity,11Kehoe Scholar,12Newbold increasingly due affluence.9Weinzettel were discussed among all authors, relevant symbols added. term “environment-agriculture-trade system” brevity but consider In diagrams (Figures 1, 2, 3, 4), arrows connection variables, correlation, feedback, represented plus minus sign arrowhead. represents expected numerical relationship scale, one variable either (+) decrease (?) other. fertilizer generally higher yields reduces atmospheric (see Note S1 more information). exhaustive review, endeavored compile references field. reality, may ambiguous complicated simple identified, no doubt unable complete subtleties. representation allows visual mapping some achieve biodiversity.Figure 3Interactions changeShow full captionClimate directly, abiotic factors severity events. affect indirectly associated feedback (represented gray dashed lines) targets. bring thought only short term, most negative. Arrows indicate signifying effect general effect. Colors signify (green), (orange), (blue).View Large Image Figure ViewerDownload (PPT)Figure 4Interactions tradeShow captionApart spatially decoupled supply connected various routes, emissions, spread species. element so should possible, along feedbacks, negative, particularly long time scales. Dashed lines well-studied (blue), activities (purple), (black).View (PPT) (blue). Apart (black). generation reveals knowledge becoming pronounced wider network considered. highlights and, alongside assessment literature, uncertainties prevent integration research. Using generate considering analyses. By determine policy. hope encourage multidisciplinary required fully consists described, becomes clear subsets studied not. assessed broad production.33Poore 34Springmann 35Pastor neglected affected benefiting agriculture. exam
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: One earth
سال: 2021
ISSN: ['2590-3322', '2590-3330']
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.oneear.2020.12.008